The day is finally here. Patriots vs Giants. A rematch of an incredible game from 5 weeks ago. A chance for the Patriots to make history and go 19-0. The Super Bowl. Let’s take a look at the matchup.
Lets look at the Patriots offense vs the Giants defense. In the Patriots last two playoff games, the opposing teams have kept Randy Moss well covered and forced the Patriots to run the ball or throw short to Wes Welker and Kevin Faulk. The Giants, however, are more of a team that will blitz more in an attempt to get to Tom Brady. These blitzes will leave some of the wide receivers open downfield if Brady has time to throw. In the first matchup, Brady was only sacked once and hit a long TD pass to Moss on a blitz. This time around, the Patriots have two more starting offensive linemen back that they didn’t have in the last matchup. I expect to see the Patriots hold the Giants blitz off enough for Brady to make some long throws. I expect the Patriots to score touchdowns on the majority of their drives (6 of 8 maybe?).
On the other side of the ball, the Patriots defense didn’t play too well last time. The Giants scored touchdowns on all four of their trips into the redzone. That will have been a point of emphasis in the Patriots practices this week. The key things the Patriots defense has to do are to pressure Eli Manning, stop Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw, and cover Plaxico Burress. In the last matchup, Manning looked great against the Pats defense until they started blitzing, the pressure forced him into some bad throws, including an interception. With the pressure the Patriots offense puts on the Giants offense as well, forcing them to try to score on nearly every drive, I expect Manning to be pressured into some bad throws again. I also expect to see some more frequent blitzes from the Patriots defense early in the game.
On special teams, the Giants scored a touchdown on a kickoff return in the last matchup. I don’t expect that to happen again. The Patriots I’m sure have studied that and the special teams will ensure that doesn’t happen again. Especially with Kelley Washington playing as well as he has lately.
My prediction: Patriots 42, Giants 24.
Predicted stars of the game:
- Offensive line - gives Brady the time he needs to hit some big throws against the blitz
- Randy Moss - catches 1 or 2 long passes
- Kevin Faulk - comes up huge again, making some nice blocks and catching short passes
- Tom Brady - nearly perfect in the pursuit of perfection
- Mike Vrabel - will be big in pressuring Eli Manning
- Ty Warren - same, also a force against the running game
- Junior Seau - will play like a madman, with some big hits and maybe a turnover
- Kelley Washington - some big special teams stops